Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 3.151855 3.513937 3.906206 4.363639 4.883516 5.457257 6.140118
2025-02-16 2.600571 3.083413 3.644686 4.348780 5.213208 6.245935 7.582226
2025-02-23 2.267080 2.814431 3.485335 4.375348 5.535700 7.011841 9.055321
2025-03-02 1.970002 2.534750 3.256348 4.257062 5.626364 7.459918 10.144325
2025-03-09 1.767262 2.344092 3.107755 4.208179 5.778804 7.979298 11.366482
2025-03-16 1.602325 2.182093 2.973741 4.153580 5.901814 8.452600 12.561767
2025-03-23 1.529880 2.137381 2.992249 4.309181 6.334347 9.411704 14.602932
2025-03-30 1.421738 2.030025 2.908323 4.300512 6.511613 9.993409 16.111957
2025-04-06 1.320899 1.923521 2.814192 4.263265 6.634051 10.492779 17.538466
2025-04-13 1.187054 1.756412 2.614050 4.039450 6.429219 10.426985 17.964349
2025-04-20 1.122666 1.690318 2.563347 4.048789 6.607585 11.021075 19.647862
2025-04-27 1.080693 1.655541 2.558159 4.130551 6.914233 11.867398 21.914406
2025-05-04 1.034718 1.612405 2.538274 4.189420 7.193703 12.709941 24.329314
2025-05-11 0.989597 1.567364 2.511673 4.234049 7.452038 13.544172 26.861550
2025-05-18 0.947429 1.523935 2.483937 4.273133 7.702438 14.390397 29.551690
2025-05-25 0.883374 1.438985 2.378473 4.160883 7.650323 14.626449 30.932660
2025-06-01 0.835667 1.378827 2.311665 4.113896 7.719633 15.115107 32.960702
2025-06-08 0.791010 1.321051 2.244881 4.060834 7.770333 15.568327 34.975374
2025-06-15 0.779739 1.321465 2.282712 4.212482 8.256246 17.019302 39.683007
2025-06-22 0.746697 1.280507 2.241495 4.204042 8.402920 17.732162 42.641260
2025-06-29 0.712358 1.235060 2.188763 4.167752 8.485103 18.305879 45.332626
2025-07-06 0.657306 1.148279 2.052467 3.949653 8.145261 17.847998 45.126656
2025-07-13 0.634090 1.119781 2.026236 3.958754 8.317217 18.640646 48.583254